Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.182482 0.211299 0.243172 0.281040 0.324811 0.373828 0.432905
2025-08-31 0.135913 0.174163 0.220879 0.282145 0.360425 0.457176 0.586000
2025-09-07 0.112064 0.154023 0.208906 0.285972 0.391503 0.531145 0.730348
2025-09-14 0.092791 0.135037 0.193473 0.280236 0.405959 0.581846 0.847290
2025-09-21 0.079521 0.121603 0.182698 0.277903 0.422789 0.635502 0.972588
2025-09-28 0.070432 0.112585 0.176492 0.280485 0.445841 0.699316 1.118953
2025-10-05 0.065640 0.109259 0.178060 0.294532 0.487305 0.794696 1.324344
2025-10-12 0.060655 0.104819 0.177077 0.303966 0.521922 0.882394 1.526939
2025-10-19 0.056010 0.100246 0.175143 0.311256 0.553316 0.967570 1.734404
2025-10-26 0.051265 0.094837 0.171032 0.314052 0.576862 1.041350 1.929748
2025-11-02 0.046197 0.088185 0.163891 0.310418 0.588168 1.094289 2.092815
2025-11-09 0.040857 0.080357 0.153685 0.299818 0.585147 1.120439 2.208219
2025-11-16 0.038247 0.077510 0.152558 0.306567 0.616325 1.214653 2.467116
2025-11-23 0.035229 0.073504 0.148778 0.307718 0.636766 1.290666 2.699565
2025-11-30 0.032878 0.070547 0.146678 0.311893 0.663549 1.381699 2.972548
2025-12-07 0.029756 0.065593 0.139951 0.305636 0.667848 1.427253 3.155075
2025-12-14 0.027324 0.061823 0.135250 0.303092 0.679628 1.489388 3.380060
2025-12-21 0.025597 0.059398 0.133134 0.305908 0.703348 1.579385 3.676759
2025-12-28 0.025000 0.059456 0.136443 0.321230 0.756786 1.740112 4.152480
2026-01-04 0.024046 0.058569 0.137524 0.331519 0.799739 1.881702 4.599744
2026-01-11 0.022991 0.057317 0.137619 0.339471 0.838017 2.016465 5.046056
2026-01-18 0.021698 0.055333 0.135775 0.342520 0.864758 2.126778 5.445088
2026-01-25 0.020093 0.052386 0.131299 0.338557 0.873695 2.195053 5.746558